Nuke the North Pole?

Phil Chapman is a geophysicist and astronautical engineer who lives in San Francisco. He was the first Australian to become a NASA astronaut. He is also part of the “tiny minority” of flat-earth, knuckledragging, mouthbreathing deniers of The World According to Gorp.

Phil’s piece in The Australian looks at the lack of recent sunspot activity, and draws a plausible correlation to global cooling, resulting in a coming ice age. Great read. Hope it’s not too scary for the chicken littles.

THE scariest photo I have seen on the internet is, where you will find a real-time image of the sun from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, located in deep space at the equilibrium point between solar and terrestrial gravity.

What is scary about the picture is that there is only one tiny sunspot.

Disconcerting as it may be to true believers in global warming, the average temperature on Earth has remained steady or slowly declined during the past decade, despite the continued increase in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide, and now the global temperature is falling precipitously.

All four agencies that track Earth’s temperature (the Hadley Climate Research Unit in Britain, the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, the Christy group at the University of Alabama, and Remote Sensing Systems Inc in California) report that it cooled by about 0.7C in 2007. This is the fastest temperature change in the instrumental record and it puts us back where we were in 1930. If the temperature does not soon recover, we will have to conclude that global warming is over.

There is also plenty of anecdotal evidence that 2007 was exceptionally cold. It snowed in Baghdad for the first time in centuries, the winter in China was simply terrible and the extent of Antarctic sea ice in the austral winter was the greatest on record since James Cook discovered the place in 1770.

It is generally not possible to draw conclusions about climatic trends from events in a single year, so I would normally dismiss this cold snap as transient, pending what happens in the next few years.

This is where SOHO comes in. The sunspot number follows a cycle of somewhat variable length, averaging 11 years. The most recent minimum was in March last year. The new cycle, No.24, was supposed to start soon after that, with a gradual build-up in sunspot numbers.

It didn’t happen. The first sunspot appeared in January this year and lasted only two days. A tiny spot appeared last Monday but vanished within 24 hours. Another little spot appeared this Monday. Pray that there will be many more, and soon.

The reason this matters is that there is a close correlation between variations in the sunspot cycle and Earth’s climate. The previous time a cycle was delayed like this was in the Dalton Minimum, an especially cold period that lasted several decades from 1790.

Northern winters became ferocious: in particular, the rout of Napoleon’s Grand Army during the retreat from Moscow in 1812 was at least partly due to the lack of sunspots.

That the rapid temperature decline in 2007 coincided with the failure of cycle No.24 to begin on schedule is not proof of a causal connection but it is cause for concern.

It is time to put aside the global warming dogma, at least to begin contingency planning about what to do if we are moving into another little ice age, similar to the one that lasted from 1100 to 1850.

Read more: “Sorry to ruin the fun, but an ice age cometh”

See Also: “Nobody Listening to The Goracle”

23 Responses

  1. It’s looking like the cooling is coming as part of the cycle of life. But the gloworms can’t let the profits from their many money scams get away from them. They also don’t want you to know that humans do a lot better in a warmer world than a cold one.

    (thanks Nuke)

  2. BTW, Mrs. D had to use 4WD to climb the first 5 miles out of here this morning, due to snow.

  3. snow? What is this “snow” you speak of?

  4. You’ve got Bob’s Bites looking good!

  5. You need to take a little trip to see the snow sometime. I found out why I like it so much. I don’t normally Have To go anywhere, or work in the snow, and I’ve gone from wood heat to propane, so from inside it looks real good!

    Thanks for the compliment Nuke. I have a good role model. 😀

  6. What he is mentioning is something I have linked to here many times, the Maunder Minimum.

  7. Yep, a lot of people are watching that now.

  8. Had some big’Ol boomers move through here last night. Shut everything down before 9p.m., and didn’t boot up til this morning, and couldn’t get this page to load, the timer just kept going and going, so I rebooted, same thing. Shut it down, and rebooted when I got home this evening, and all was swell. I blame WP.
    /or eleanor roosevelt

  9. My desktop is screwed up too. Won’t connect to the innernut, and I lost all my bookmarks. Mrs. D’s bookmarks are still there, and she can play the vast variety of games she’s collected, so maybe there’s hope. My first thought was to toss it, and get a new tower. Might still do that.

  10. Yikes!
    Is your puter an oldie, Robert D?
    Or did you toss a couple of grenades into the OS like I did?

  11. I got a new Dell about 4? yrs ago, shortly before I found you and the gang at lgf. That was my first real experience with a computer, other than a couple of junkers that were half dead already. I’m pretty sure this can be fixed.

  12. It probably is something that can be dealt with, but missing bookmarks, that almost sounds intentional…or an accident.
    Four years for a new puter isn’t that old.
    Have you ever done a registry cleaning?
    There is a free and safe download for it.

  13. I was a bit afraid of the registry cleaning. I think I’ve got some kind of bug in there, even though I have three fire walls and three virus scanners. Should I download a registry cleaner from filehippo, or do you have a recommendation?

  14. Well now, downloading won’t quite work if I can’t get to the innernut will it. I should really think before I type. 😕

  15. Hmmm…no, you are correct.
    Didn’t think of the no innernut thingie. I can’t recommend anything that might help, if you can’t do that. It may be time for a geek’s assessment.

  16. We’re going to call our ISP and see what they can tell us first. It’s just a matter of who gets to spend the better part of an hour on the phone and computer with them. (at least they are based in the USA and speak perfect American) Then we do have access to The Geek Squad if need be.

  17. I’ll bet y’all can get it hammered out. Sounds like something got corrupted.

  18. Yeah, I’m pretty sure it’s not fatal. Just a pain in the a$$.

  19. Have you heard if the ocean gets warmer the gases from the ocean will be released and those toxic gases can wipe out humanity, from the methane and other carbon pollutants.

    Even if it is reversed and it does become cooler, so be it, humans can not be rulers over nature, and natural cycles must take place,

    As a chick from the egg hatches till the day it becomes a full grown chicken, with any adding of hormones or other enhancements to the chick, there are implications on the chickens health and whoever choses to eat that chicken.

    So to will be the same repercussions for bombing the north pole.

    Something man made like a bomb interferes with nature. We are not the rulers of this beautiful life giving earth we live upon, we are here to respect, I believe the way for peace is to respect it the way the ancient civilisations respected it.

    Man will never be the ruler of nature, at the moment the way we are dis-respecting our mother nature, it will find a way to purify itself.

  20. Jorgie, you didn’t read the article, did you? Just the satirical headline.
    Dang, lefties not only don’t have a sense of humor, they don’t read information that contradicts their carefully crafted fantasy world.
    Yes, most of us have heard about the last great mass extinction, of which there were five, in which the ocean’s temperatures got so warm, that the methane in the ocean floor came bubbling up like a jalapeno fart, and killed everything.
    Did you hear that sixty one people in Peru died on the first day of winter from record freezing temperatures?
    Tell you what, Jorgie, you get busy and start protesting and informing the wild fires and volcanoes about all the harm they are doing to the environment, and I will promise not to buy a twelve cylinder, twin turbo car.

  21. man that jalapeno fart is hotter than Lillie von Schtupp

  22. Hotter than a camp fire bean fart, too.

  23. You missed the rebuttal. For that, and some background from NASA, see “Ice age predictions are premature

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